Daily digest market movers: AUD path dependant on labor market data

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  • Investors are poised on the Australian Employment data, scheduled for release on Thursday. The forecast reveals that 20,000 job hunters found employment in June, a number parallel to the May figures.
  • If the unemployment rate remains stable at 4.0%, it would signal a robust labor market which could bolster expectations of the RBA's policy-tightening initiative.
  • However, in the US, the market suspects a near-future rate cut by the Federal Reserve inflation is showing signs of easing.
  • As for now, market projections currently factor in almost a 50% chance of the RBA increasing rates in September or November.
  • On the other hand, the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is nearly to be priced in.
  • The divergent monetary policies of the Fed and RBA might limit the losses of the pair

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