- Gold price trades in negative territory around $2,500 in Monday’s early Asian session.
- The US Core PCE inflation remains unchanged at 2.6%, matching June's increase, below the consensus of 2.7%.
- Any signs of a Chinese sluggish economy might weigh on the Gold price.
Gold price (XAU/USD) softens near $2,500 on Monday during the early Asian trading hours, pressured by the stronger US Dollar (USD). However, the downside of the yellow metal might be limited as a September interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) remains in play.
The Commerce Department revealed on Friday that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 0.2% MoM in July, matching the market expectation. On a yearly basis, the PCE inflation remained unchanged at 2.5% in July. Meanwhile, the core PCE, excluding volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.2% for the month but rose 2.6% from a year ago. The annual figure was slightly softer than the 2.7% expected.
Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold, said that the PCE report confirmed inflation is no longer the Fed's main concern, as they have shifted their focus to unemployment data, which further validates the potential rate cuts in September.
Traders slightly raised bets of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Fed in September to around 70%, with a 50 bps reduction possibility standing at 30% following the PCE inflation report, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The firmer Fed rate cut expectation is likely to support the Gold price in the near term as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
风险提示:以上内容仅代表作者或嘉宾的观点,不代表 FOLLOWME 的任何观点及立场,且不代表 FOLLOWME 同意其说法或描述,也不构成任何投资建议。对于访问者根据 FOLLOWME 社区提供的信息所做出的一切行为,除非另有明确的书面承诺文件,否则本社区不承担任何形式的责任。
FOLLOWME 交易社区网址: www.followme.ceo
加载失败()