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Uncertainty looms amid tariff turmoil Since our last FX Forecast Update, 21 March, the dominating theme for markets has been increased political turmoil in the US triggered by escalating trade tensions leading to mounting US recession concerns. President Trump’s signals have been mixed post Liberati

The US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent commented that the tariff standoff with China is unsustainable and that he expects a de-escalation of the situation. Bessent said that although negotiations had not started, a deal is possible suggested people that attended a private event by JP Morgan Chase &

EUR/USD sticks to gains near 1.1500 as the US Dollar has been battered by Trump’s attack on the Fed’s independence.Trump blames Fed Powell for the potential US economic slowdown.The ECB is expected to cut interest rates in June due to escalating downside risks to Eurozone inflation. EUR/USD trades f

On the radarToday at 10 am, Poland will release March data for industrial production, wage growth and PPI.At 11 am, Croatia publishes unemployment rate for March and wage growth for April.Slovakia will also release unemployment rate for March later today.Economic developments Today, the IMF will pub

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, April 10: Following another volatile day on Wednesday, markets remain cautious on Thursday and the US Dollar (USD) struggles to hold its ground. The US economic calendar will feature Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for March, alongside the weekly Initial

In this technical blog, we will look at the past performance of the 1-hour Elliott Wave Charts of EURCAD. In which, the rally from 22 November 2024 low is unfolding as an impulse sequence. Therefore, called for an extension higher to take place. We knew that the structure in EURCAD should remai

The just-released minutes of the ECB’s March meeting confirm increasingly diverging views on when to cut interest rates again. An easing bias with the openness to pause was the stance after the March meeting. However, last night’s tariff announcements have clearly increased the chances of a rate cut